The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. De La Cruz, Elly in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 655 PA
Ranked comps for De La Cruz, Elly
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Wood, James WSH · L · 646 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateIsolated power | Walk rate +1.6zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 438 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Oppo rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthWalk rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -2.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 627 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Pull rate +2.0zSwing length +1.7zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 593 PA | 0.56 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Walk rate +1.7zPull rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 477 PA | 0.56 | Sprint speedWhiff rateSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zHard-hit rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.52 | Pull rateOppo rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +2.3zSprint speed -1.4zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.50 | Whiff rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | Avg exit velocity -1.9zHard-hit rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 714 PA | 0.50 | Chase rateHard-hit rateSwing length | In-zone contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.48 | Chase rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.5zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 717 PA | 0.44 | Oppo rateWhiff rateChase rate | Isolated power -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA | 0.43 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.7zChase rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.