Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 7" |
| Weight | 248 lb |
| Debut | 2021-10-02 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 7", 248 lb · Age 27
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 599 | 72 | 140 | 21 | 22 | .259 | .324 | .449 | .773 |
| 2025 | 544 | 62 | 94 | 20 | 38 | .200 | .298 | .378 | .676 |
| 2026 | 419 | 65 | 103 | 20 | 30 | .280 | .368 | .486 | .854 |
| 6 Seasons | 1972 | 253 | 425 | 80 | 103 | .243 | .322 | .438 | .760 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
96
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.335 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.352 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.346 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.323
0.334
0.346
0.359
0.370
wOBA
0.370
0.384
0.400
0.416
0.430
ISO
0.178
0.190
0.203
0.216
0.228
K%
28.9%
30.2%
31.6%
33.0%
34.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.4%
91
Exit velocity94.3
99
Hard-hit%54.4%
98
xBA0.404
99
xSLG0.761
98
xwOBA0.352
93
BB%11.2%
82
Bat speed75.8
99
K%32.9%
6
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · CF
93
Arm Strength101.9 · CF
97
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs-0.9 · CF
39
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.7 · CF
85
Bolts12.0 · CF
66
SB Success Rate78.8% · CF
45
Sprint Speed28.5 · CF
80
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions63.7% · rebadged research
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
25
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
30
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.386 · validated
5
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
68
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
213 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.067 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Cruz’s wOBA sits at 0.400, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.352 — a gap of 0.048, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 438 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L | 0.64 | Walk rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L | 0.54 | Chase ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Jordan STL · R | 0.50 | Fly-ball rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Caglianone, Jac KC · L | 0.50 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-10 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-24 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.126 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.334 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 3 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2 BB, 3 RBI, 3 R |