Mithrandir Metrics
MIN American League Central Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Minnesota Twins

80.1-81.9 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.1-81.9
Live pace
76.5
Delta
-3.6
Record 76-85 Run diff -60 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace76.5
Rolling p5077.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
68.8 72.9 77.4 81.9 86.0
MOVE -2.6 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs33.0%
Pennant3.7%
World Series1.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.257
Rotation FIP4.17
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-14.7
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJeffers, Ryan4901.89
1BLewis, Royce4380.11
2BClemens, Kody4210.37
SSCulpepper, Kaelen----
3BLee, Brooks487-0.31
LFMartin, Austin3230.42
CFJenkins, Walker----
RFKeaschall, Luke304-0.05
DHBell, Josh5443.34
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Larnach, TrevorHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Buxton, ByronHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
López, PabloPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Festa, DavidPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Sands, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Banda, AnthonyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Abel, MickPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hoffman, JeffPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Wallner, MattHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Gray, TristanHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Gonzalez, GabrielHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Mendez, HendryHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Anderson, JackPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Orze, EricPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Acton, GarrettPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors