Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIN · 2026

Gómez, Yoendrys

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
21.6% K%
Range
16.5% to 27.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIN Archetype Volatile contact Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
29
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
37
Arsenal6 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.35
ERA current pace4.36
ERA rolling p504.35
Observed weight56%
ERA
3.06 3.67 4.35 5.04 5.65
FIP
3.37 3.88 4.44 5.00 5.50
K%
18.9% 20.3% 21.9% 23.4% 24.8%
BB%
9.0% 9.9% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.44
30
ERA4.36
41
BB%12.9%
12 -40 vs proj
K%22.0%
49
xwOBA allowed0.355
12 -21 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.6%
32
Fastball velo95.6
69
Hard-hit allowed41.4%
29
Whiff%24.2%
61
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+100
34
Mithrandir Stuff+101
41
Changeup Stuff+98
26
Cutter Stuff+101
47
Sinker Stuff+101
42
Slider Stuff+101
45
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Gómez, Yoendrys · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.355 2026-09-13: 0.3512026-09-14: 0.3512026-09-18: 0.3582026-09-19: 0.3582026-09-20: 0.3582026-09-21: 0.3622026-09-22: 0.3622026-09-23: 0.3622026-09-24: 0.3582026-09-25: 0.3582026-09-26: 0.3582026-09-27: 0.355 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Gómez, Yoendrys · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gómez, Yoendrys · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 46.4%Sweeper: 23.2%Cutter: 15.4%Sinker: 8.8%Changeup: 6.1% FF46% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 46%ST 23%FC 15%SI 9%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Gómez, Yoendrys · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 95.8 mphFF96 mphSweeper: 23% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 84.7 mphST85 mphCutter: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 91.8 mphFC92 mphSinker: 9% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.3 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 91.6 mphCH92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.8% 329 100 qualified
SL 24.2% 174 101 limited sample
FC 13.0% 93 101 limited sample
SI 12.5% 90 101 limited sample
CH 4.5% 32 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.312 vs 0.291 xwOBA allowed split).
pitcher
2
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 35%, Sinker 18%, Sweeper 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.02
K% Δ+0.004
Sample69.3 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings63.3----
Batters Faced281----
K%21.6%16.5% to 27.6%+/- 5.5%
BB%8.6%5.5% to 11.9%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%22.9%19.1% to 28.2%+/- 4.6%
HR/91.470.45 to 2.02+/- 0.78
xwOBA Against0.3280.268 to 0.374+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed9.3%5.0% to 14.2%+/- 4.6%
ERA4.382.78 to 6.41+/- 1.82
FIP4.343.08 to 6.07+/- 1.50
WHIP1.3441.058 to 1.630+/- 0.286
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

203 career BF

xwOBA0.312
K%19.1%
BB%9.0%
Barrel11.6%
vs RHH

170 career BF

xwOBA0.291
K%20.7%
BB%7.7%
Barrel10.3%