The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Nathaniel in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 446 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Nathaniel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length +0.9zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.71 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 688 PA | 0.71 | Bat speedGround-ball ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.0zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | France, Ty SD · R · 523 PA | 0.69 | Swing lengthFly-ball ratePull rate | Chase rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Barrel rate +1.4zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.68 | Sprint speedPull rateOppo rate | Swing length -1.2zBat speed -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 425 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateChase rateSweet-spot rate | Swing length -1.4zBat speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 597 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rateWalk rate | Sprint speed +2.0zMax exit velocity -1.1zChase rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactIsolated power | Sprint speed +1.7zWalk rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 649 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityPull rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zWhiff rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.