The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 418 PA

Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.64 Strikeout ratePull rateIn-zone contact Barrel rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 734 PA 0.60 Chase rateBat speedIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 687 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateHard-hit rate Barrel rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.56 In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA 0.53 Fly-ball ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.8zSwing length -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactSwing length Sprint speed -2.5zBarrel rate -1.3zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA 0.53 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateBat speed Chase rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA 0.52 Chase rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 601 PA 0.50 Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA 0.49 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Isolated power -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 451 PA 0.49 In-zone contactBat speedGround-ball rate Barrel rate -2.1zChase rate +1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.49 Chase ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Swing length -2.2zSprint speed -2.0zBarrel rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.