The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Winn, Masyn in signal, the comp in amber.
STL · bats R · 549 PA
Ranked comps for Winn, Masyn
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 440 PA | 0.76 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9zChase rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Myers, Dane CIN · R · 352 PA | 0.76 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Oppo rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9zIsolated power +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA | 0.73 | Barrel rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 375 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateSprint speed | Oppo rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 355 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBat speed | In-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactPull rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 717 PA | 0.60 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 528 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedStrikeout rateChase rate | Swing length -1.6zPull rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateMax exit velocityBat speed | Sprint speed -2.0zOppo rate -1.3zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.8zIsolated power +1.2zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Oppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.