Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 212 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-28 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Jared Triolo
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 212 lb · Age 28
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 446 | 41 | 85 | 9 | 8 | .216 | .296 | .315 | .611 |
| 2025 | 376 | 41 | 75 | 7 | 13 | .227 | .311 | .356 | .667 |
| 2026 | 362 | 34 | 77 | 3 | 13 | .238 | .307 | .302 | .609 |
| 4 Seasons | 1393 | 146 | 291 | 22 | 40 | .237 | .317 | .335 | .652 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
23
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.318 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.284 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.285
0.296
0.308
0.319
wOBA
0.277
0.292
0.308
0.324
0.338
ISO
0.082
0.094
0.107
0.121
0.133
K%
19.4%
20.7%
22.0%
23.4%
24.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.6%
8
-41 vs proj
Exit velocity85.1
20
Hard-hit%33.3%
28
-23 vs proj
xBA0.310
39
xSLG0.407
15
xwOBA0.284
29
-24 vs proj
BB%7.4%
37
-25 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
21
K%20.2%
67
+23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · SS
19
Arm Strength93.2 · SS
89
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
73
Range Runs-0.5 · SS
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.7 · SS
74
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
94
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.3% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
150 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Triolo’s wOBA sits at 0.308, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.284 — a gap of 0.024, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 376 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales, Nick PIT · R | 0.81 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Cronenworth, Jake SD · L | 0.79 | Max exit velocityWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.71 | In-zone contactFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Meckler, Wade LAA · L | 0.70 | Pull rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-08-13 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 23 | 2026-09-11 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.235 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.305 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-03 vs BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-01 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-03-30 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-03-29 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, HBP |