The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 707 PA

Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate +1.4zPull rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA 0.52 Whiff rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Walk rate -1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.2zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.51 Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate Bat speed -1.6zSwing length -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.51 In-zone contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.9zChase rate +1.2zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 627 PA 0.49 In-zone contactWhiff rateFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA 0.47 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Swing length -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.47 Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 593 PA 0.47 Bat speedBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +2.3zPull rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA 0.45 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +2.9zChase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA 0.44 Chase rateBat speedMax exit velocity Pull rate -2.4zOppo rate +1.7zIsolated power -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 632 PA 0.44 Whiff rateStrikeout rateGround-ball rate xwOBA on contact -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.44 Barrel rateBat speedStrikeout rate Walk rate -2.3zSprint speed +1.7zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.