The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Torkelson, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats R · 632 PA
Ranked comps for Torkelson, Spencer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA | 0.82 | xwOBA on contactSwing lengthIsolated power | Chase rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.7zFly-ball rate -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA | 0.69 | Sprint speedWhiff ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.0zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedWalk rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.2zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 549 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedIsolated powerHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthPull rateBat speed | Isolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 716 PA | 0.58 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Chase rate +2.6zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zChase rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactPull rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIsolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.55 | Bat speedBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.7zSwing length -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA | 0.54 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.