The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Torkelson, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats R · 632 PA

Ranked comps for Torkelson, Spencer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.82 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthIsolated power Chase rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.7zFly-ball rate -0.6z
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA 0.69 Sprint speedWhiff ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.0zChase rate +1.0z
03 Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA 0.64 Sprint speedWalk rateIn-zone contact Swing length -1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.2zPull rate -1.1z
04 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 549 PA 0.63 Bat speedIsolated powerHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4zSwing length -1.2z
05 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.62 Pull rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
06 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.60 Swing lengthPull rateBat speed Isolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z
07 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 716 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityPull rate Chase rate +2.6zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.1z
08 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zChase rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.2z
09 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.57 In-zone contactPull rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIsolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z
10 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.55 Bat speedBarrel rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.7zSwing length -1.6z
11 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.54 Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1z
12 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.54 Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.