The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 449 PA
Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 641 PA | 0.84 | Hard-hit rateChase rateWalk rate | In-zone contact -0.9zSprint speed +0.8zPull rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 715 PA | 0.74 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Barrel rate +1.1zWhiff rate -1.0zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactBat speedWhiff rate | Swing length +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactWhiff rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.62 | In-zone contactMax exit velocityBat speed | Sprint speed +1.5zPull rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Seager, Corey TEX · L · 450 PA | 0.62 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Swing length -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.62 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateWalk rateGround-ball rate | Isolated power -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Hard-hit rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA | 0.59 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Swing length -1.5zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactChase rateOppo rate | Isolated power -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactOppo rateSwing length | Sprint speed +1.8zBat speed +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.