The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 715 PA
Ranked comps for Olson, Matt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 641 PA | 0.77 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | In-zone contact -1.5zBat speed -0.8zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 449 PA | 0.74 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Barrel rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0zBat speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactBarrel rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWalk rate +1.3zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.59 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA | 0.58 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +1.9zSwing length -1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA | 0.58 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zIsolated power -1.2zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA | 0.57 | Chase rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Pull rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA | 0.57 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedSprint speed | Isolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA | 0.53 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Sprint speed +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateWhiff rate | Fly-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 543 PA | 0.51 | Walk rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.