The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 482 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 496 PA 0.68 Sprint speedSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.5zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA 0.61 Isolated powerMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA 0.61 Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.9zPull rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 445 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.9zChase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.54 Pull rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 376 PA 0.53 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA 0.49 xwOBA on contactBat speedWalk rate Ground-ball rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 703 PA 0.47 Walk rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 405 PA 0.46 xwOBA on contactSprint speedIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 341 PA 0.43 In-zone contactStrikeout rateIsolated power Chase rate -2.5zOppo rate -1.8zWalk rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 365 PA 0.42 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Whiff rate +2.0zChase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.