The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lopez, Otto in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats R · 703 PA
Ranked comps for Lopez, Otto
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit ratePull rateOppo rate | Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateOppo rateGround-ball rate | Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 649 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerOppo rate | Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.64 | Chase rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA | 0.60 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Swing length +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedFly-ball rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 659 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Oppo rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA | 0.57 | Whiff rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.56 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactPull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.