The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats L · 444 PA
Ranked comps for Keith, Colt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA | 0.76 | Sweet-spot rateChase rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 717 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedChase rateSprint speed | Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateBat speedIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.68 | Walk ratePull rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateIsolated powerBat speed | Chase rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.0zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 663 PA | 0.66 | Whiff rateWalk rateIn-zone contact | Max exit velocity -1.6zOppo rate +1.4zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSwing length +1.1zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.63 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power | Chase rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.9zSwing length +1.6zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.