The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 444 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA 0.76 Sweet-spot rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.8z
02 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.72 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z
03 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 717 PA 0.70 Bat speedChase rateSprint speed Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z
04 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA 0.70 Walk rateBat speedIsolated power Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA 0.68 Walk ratePull rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z
06 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA 0.67 Walk rateIsolated powerBat speed Chase rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z
07 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA 0.66 Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.0zBat speed -0.8z
08 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 663 PA 0.66 Whiff rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.6zOppo rate +1.4zPull rate -0.9z
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSwing length +1.1zChase rate +1.0z
10 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA 0.63 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Chase rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +0.9z
11 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.63 Pull rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.9zSwing length +1.6zIsolated power +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.