The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 401 PA
Ranked comps for Wells, Austin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA | 0.71 | Pull rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 415 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit ratePull rateSweet-spot rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +0.9zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 726 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedIsolated powerChase rate | Walk rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 641 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 484 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateOppo rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 502 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedPull rateOppo rate | Walk rate -1.7zSwing length +1.5zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 528 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.6zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 487 PA | 0.59 | Avg exit velocityWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.