Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-17 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Dansby Swanson
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 32
Club Chicago Cubs
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 593 | 82 | 129 | 16 | 19 | .242 | .312 | .390 | .702 |
| 2025 | 645 | 84 | 144 | 24 | 20 | .244 | .300 | .417 | .717 |
| 2026 | 486 | 82 | 91 | 19 | 17 | .213 | .297 | .397 | .694 |
| 11 Seasons | 5749 | 762 | 1277 | 183 | 123 | .247 | .316 | .412 | .728 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.301 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.285
0.296
0.308
0.320
0.331
wOBA
0.305
0.318
0.332
0.346
0.358
ISO
0.147
0.158
0.171
0.184
0.195
K%
22.1%
23.1%
24.3%
25.5%
26.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
45
-27 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
66
Hard-hit%41.3%
64
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.520
56
xwOBA0.301
49
-29 vs proj
BB%10.1%
69
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
50
K%23.9%
45
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
62
Arm Strength88.0 · SS
58
Outs Above Avg16.0 · SS
99
Range Runs11.8 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.2 · SS
92
Bolts1.0 · SS
11
SB Success Rate92.9% · SS
86
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.1% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions72.6% · rebadged research
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
211 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.001 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Swanson’s wOBA sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.030, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 506 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L | 0.86 | Sprint speedOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Happ, Ian CHC · L | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.66 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Lindor, Francisco NYM · L | 0.66 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-09-19 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 16 | 2026-09-27 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.104 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.331 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI1 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, 2 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 BB, K, 2 R |