The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 701 PA
Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedPull rateIsolated power | Walk rate -2.3zBarrel rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactSprint speedAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA | 0.61 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Walk rate -1.8zBat speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateSprint speed | Chase rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityIsolated power | Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA | 0.56 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -2.2zPull rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.56 | Sweet-spot rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Walk rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.