The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 701 PA

Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.67 Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Chase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
02 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zWalk rate -0.9z
03 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA 0.66 Bat speedPull rateIsolated power Walk rate -2.3zBarrel rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.8z
04 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA 0.64 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z
05 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length Fly-ball rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z
06 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA 0.63 In-zone contactSprint speedAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.1z
07 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Walk rate -1.8zBat speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.0z
08 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot ratePull rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.0z
09 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.60 Barrel rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Chase rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z
10 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 636 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Walk rate -2.2zPull rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z
11 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.56 Sweet-spot rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1z
12 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateBat speed Walk rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.