The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 401 PA

Ranked comps for Wells, Austin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.71 Pull rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9z
02 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 415 PA 0.70 Hard-hit ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +0.9zWhiff rate -0.9z
03 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 726 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z
04 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.67 Sprint speedIsolated powerChase rate Walk rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z
05 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 641 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z
06 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 484 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateOppo rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z
07 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 502 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
08 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA 0.60 Barrel rateStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.4z
09 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.59 Bat speedPull rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.7zSwing length +1.5zSprint speed +1.4z
10 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 528 PA 0.59 Isolated powerGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.4zSwing length +1.2z
11 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA 0.59 Pull rateHard-hit rateBat speed Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.6zIsolated power +1.1z
12 Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 487 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.