The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Happ, Ian in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 657 PA
Ranked comps for Happ, Ian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 579 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 506 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Swing length +1.8zWalk rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactSprint speedHard-hit rate | Swing length +1.4zPull rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateChase rateMax exit velocity | Swing length +2.1zAvg exit velocity +0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA | 0.64 | Chase rateWhiff rateSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 489 PA | 0.62 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 447 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -2.0zOppo rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 552 PA | 0.61 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Swing length +2.3zPull rate +1.2zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.60 | In-zone contactOppo rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.6zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.57 | Sprint speedBarrel rateWalk rate | In-zone contact +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6zOppo rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.