The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Braden in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 365 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Braden

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Fly-ball ratePull rateMax exit velocity Whiff rate -1.7zSwing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 522 PA 0.54 Whiff rateHard-hit ratePull rate Swing length +2.4zBarrel rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 667 PA 0.53 Barrel rateSwing lengthChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 623 PA 0.52 Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate Swing length +1.9zOppo rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 494 PA 0.51 Isolated powerBat speedAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +2.1zFly-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityOppo rateWalk rate Bat speed +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 341 PA 0.49 Pull rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 445 PA 0.45 Oppo rateChase rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.7zHard-hit rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA 0.45 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactOppo rate Swing length +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 703 PA 0.43 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed In-zone contact +1.9zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.43 Oppo ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +2.1zChase rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.42 Strikeout rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Swing length +2.2zGround-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.