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SEA American League West Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Seattle Mariners

85.4-76.6 with P10-P90 wins 76-95. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
85.4-76.6
Live pace
75.5
Delta
-10.0
Record 75-86 Run diff -62 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace75.5
Rolling p5078.1
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
69.5 73.6 78.1 82.5 86.6
MOVE -6.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.30
October path

Projection odds

Division35.0%
Playoffs58.8%
Pennant10.0%
World Series4.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.269
Rotation FIP4.25
Bullpen FIP4.30
Run diff41.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPereda, Jhonny251-0.95
1BNaylor, Josh6102.12
2BYoung, Cole330-0.20
SSCrawford, J.p.6103.31
3BWilson, Weston274-0.55
LFArozarena, Randy6654.82
CFRodríguez, Julio6557.21
RFCanzone, Dominic3791.55
DHRaleigh, Cal6587.45
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Donovan, BrendanHitterIL-10Injured 7-Day
Raley, LukeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Wilson, WillHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Rodden, BrockHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Davis, BrennenHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Emerson, ColtHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Evans, LoganPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hancock, EmersonPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Muñoz, AndrésPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Brash, MattPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Wilcox, ColePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
MacIver, WillieHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Bliss, RyanHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Wisdom, PatrickHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Simpson, JoshPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Watson, TroyPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors