Mithrandir Metrics
PIT National League Central Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Pittsburgh Pirates

80.2-81.8 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.2-81.8
Live pace
81.5
Delta
+1.3
Record 81-80 Run diff 26 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace81.5
Rolling p5081.1
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
72.3 76.4 81.1 85.7 89.9
MOVE +1.1 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.40
October path

Projection odds

Division15.5%
Playoffs29.3%
Pennant2.8%
World Series1.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP4.07
Bullpen FIP4.40
Run diff-12.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CFlores Jr., Rafael210-0.10
1BHorwitz, Spencer4450.58
2BGonzales, Nick454-0.39
SSGriffin, Konnor201-0.33
3BGonzalez, Jacob202-0.28
LFReynolds, Bryan6064.40
CFCook, Billy212-0.73
RFMangum, Jake419-0.82
DHO'Hearn, Ryan5394.41
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Rodríguez, EndyHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Valdez, EsmerlynHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Keller, MitchPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ashcraft, BraxtonPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Mattson, IsaacPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Yorke, NickHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Garcia, JhostynxonHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Callihan, TylerHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Brannigan, JackHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Harrington, ThomasPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Sisk, EvanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors