Mithrandir Metrics
HOU American League West Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Houston Astros

82.1-79.9 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.1-79.9
Live pace
80.5
Delta
-1.6
Record 80-81 Run diff -41 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace80.5
Rolling p5080.9
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
72.1 76.3 80.9 85.6 89.7
MOVE -1.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.35
October path

Projection odds

Division21.0%
Playoffs43.2%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.35
Run diff8.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDiaz, Yainer5563.20
1BWalker, Christian5773.23
2BAltuve, Jose6070.21
SSPeña, Jeremy5490.48
3BParedes, Isaac4931.53
LFTrammell, Taylor270-0.47
CFSpence, Lucas201-0.31
RFSmith, Cam4561.68
DHAlvarez, Yordan3718.23
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Correa, CarlosHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Meyers, JakeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Varsho, DaultonHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Matthews, BriceHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Burrows, MikePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Javier, CristianPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Okert, StevenPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Walter, BrandonPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
De Los Santos, EnyelPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Loperfido, JoeyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Dezenzo, ZachHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Cole, ZachHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Price, CollinHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Blanco, RonelPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Teng, Kai-WeiPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors