Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / HOU
Isaac Paredes
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 213 lb · Age 27
Club HOU
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 641 | 64 | 129 | 19 | 1 | .238 | .346 | .393 | .739 |
| 2025 | 438 | 53 | 96 | 20 | 0 | .254 | .352 | .458 | .810 |
| 2026 | 659 | 69 | 147 | 25 | 0 | .262 | .360 | .447 | .807 |
| 7 Seasons | 2883 | 319 | 600 | 117 | 2 | .242 | .342 | .433 | .775 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
33
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.310 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.323 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.309
0.320
0.331
0.340
wOBA
0.344
0.355
0.367
0.380
0.391
ISO
0.157
0.167
0.178
0.190
0.200
K%
13.3%
14.1%
14.9%
15.8%
16.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.5%
29
Exit velocity86.2
31
Hard-hit%29.9%
16
xBA0.291
20
xSLG0.443
29
xwOBA0.323
71
BB%10.7%
77
Bat speed65.5
10
K%13.7%
93
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
40
Arm Strength81.6 · 3B
8
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-0.4 · 3B
51
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.7 · 3B
20
Sprint Speed25.1 · 3B
6
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.0% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.256 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.376 · insufficient sample
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.409 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.048 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Paredes’s wOBA sits at 0.367, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.044, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 666 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L | 0.58 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Bellinger, Cody NYY · L | 0.58 | Pull rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.56 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Bregman, Alex CHC · R | 0.54 | Whiff rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 32 | 2026-09-26 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.626 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.319 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |