The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caratini, Victor in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats L · 400 PA
Ranked comps for Caratini, Victor
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA | 0.74 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedGround-ball rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 358 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateOppo rate | xwOBA on contact +1.1zChase rate +0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 489 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBat speed | Walk rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.8zIsolated power +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 678 PA | 0.63 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityPull rate | xwOBA on contact +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedIn-zone contactPull rate | Sprint speed +2.0zMax exit velocity +1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateBat speedWhiff rate | Swing length +1.3zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Johnston, Troy COL · L · 466 PA | 0.60 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityBat speed | Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 470 PA | 0.60 | Swing lengthChase rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 653 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.6zPull rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.55 | Pull rateBat speedSwing length | Hard-hit rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.