The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 597 PA

Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.73 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Isolated power -1.1zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate -0.8z
02 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate In-zone contact -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.66 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z
04 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA 0.66 Sweet-spot rateOppo rateFly-ball rate Pull rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zIsolated power -1.3z
05 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.65 Whiff rateStrikeout rateBat speed Walk rate -1.6zSwing length -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z
06 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 630 PA 0.64 Isolated powerHard-hit rateFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1zOppo rate -1.1z
07 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.1z
08 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 701 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot ratePull rateSprint speed Chase rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z
09 Wood, James WSH · L · 650 PA 0.59 Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power xwOBA on contact +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z
10 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 659 PA 0.57 Isolated powerSweet-spot rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z
11 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA 0.54 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.6zPull rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2z
12 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA 0.51 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.