The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 712 PA
Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 630 PA | 0.55 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.6zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedWhiff rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.48 | Barrel rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Walk rate -2.3zSprint speed +1.8zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA | 0.46 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +2.3zPull rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 579 PA | 0.46 | Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Bat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5zSwing length -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.45 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA | 0.44 | In-zone contactWhiff rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 734 PA | 0.43 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed +3.0zChase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA | 0.41 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.7zWalk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.39 | In-zone contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -2.1zWalk rate -1.9zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 662 PA | 0.39 | Ground-ball rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Walk rate -2.2zIsolated power -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA | 0.37 | In-zone contactMax exit velocityWhiff rate | Walk rate -2.4zChase rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.