The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 593 PA
Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.73 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Isolated power -1.1zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.66 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.1zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA | 0.64 | Oppo rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Pull rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.6zSwing length -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 627 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 696 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Chase rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Wood, James WSH · L · 646 PA | 0.59 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedWalk rate | xwOBA on contact +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 655 PA | 0.56 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Walk rate -1.7zPull rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.7zPull rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.