The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McLain, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 518 PA

Ranked comps for McLain, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.85 Walk rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.1zPull rate +0.7zFly-ball rate -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 395 PA 0.81 Hard-hit rateBat speedStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.3zOppo rate -0.7zSprint speed -0.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 489 PA 0.68 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +0.9zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 668 PA 0.65 Sprint speedBat speedChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 729 PA 0.63 Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.2zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA 0.62 Oppo rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Barrel rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Walk rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateWhiff rateBat speed Avg exit velocity +1.7zSwing length +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityPull rateChase rate Strikeout rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.6zWhiff rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 361 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthChase rate Strikeout rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 361 PA 0.58 Pull rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate In-zone contact -2.1zChase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.58 Pull rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.