The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 630 PA

Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA 0.64 Pull rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA 0.64 Isolated powerHard-hit rateFly-ball rate Chase rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 659 PA 0.59 Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Pull rate -2.0zSwing length -1.7zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 438 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactChase rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 712 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.54 Strikeout rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.52 Isolated powerSprint speedWhiff rate Walk rate -1.7zSwing length -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate -2.0zWalk rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.50 Bat speedxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Sprint speed -2.1zPull rate -1.9zSwing length -1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 701 PA 0.48 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed Barrel rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.48 Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 734 PA 0.47 Bat speedStrikeout ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.9zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.