The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rutschman, Adley in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 425 PA

Ranked comps for Rutschman, Adley

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.76 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zBarrel rate +0.9zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 627 PA 0.71 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.71 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Whiff rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA 0.70 Bat speedBarrel rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 549 PA 0.67 Swing lengthPull ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 446 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateChase rateSweet-spot rate Swing length +1.4zBat speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 494 PA 0.66 Bat speedWhiff rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA 0.66 Walk ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.0zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.66 Bat speedIsolated powerSprint speed Pull rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.2zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.65 Bat speedBarrel rateOppo rate Max exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 731 PA 0.65 Whiff rateSwing lengthBarrel rate Walk rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.