The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 623 PA

Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +0.9zChase rate +0.9zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Bat speed +1.4zOppo rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.63 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.0zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 522 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateChase rateSprint speed Strikeout rate +1.5zOppo rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 532 PA 0.60 Bat speedWalk rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zSwing length -1.5zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.58 Sprint speedBat speedGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 489 PA 0.57 Barrel rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.5zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 482 PA 0.56 Whiff rateBarrel rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.56 Whiff rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 627 PA 0.56 Max exit velocityBarrel rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.5zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.