The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 692 PA

Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.73 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocitySprint speed Chase rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.71 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Strikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA 0.69 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate xwOBA on contact +1.3zOppo rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 685 PA 0.66 In-zone contactWalk rateChase rate Sprint speed -1.7zBat speed -1.2zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 477 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateBarrel ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3zWhiff rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 485 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 582 PA 0.65 Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA 0.65 Walk rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.64 Isolated powerSwing lengthMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA 0.63 Barrel rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.