The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wilson, Jacob in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats R · 351 PA
Ranked comps for Wilson, Jacob
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA | 0.75 | Sprint speedHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.0zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 519 PA | 0.45 | Isolated powerWalk rateAvg exit velocity | In-zone contact -1.6zWhiff rate +1.6zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 496 PA | 0.43 | Barrel rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Sprint speed +2.0zIn-zone contact -1.8zStrikeout rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA | 0.43 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerChase rate | Swing length +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 482 PA | 0.41 | Oppo rateBarrel ratePull rate | Sprint speed +2.0zSwing length +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 498 PA | 0.38 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Swing length +2.9zBat speed +1.6zPull rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 707 PA | 0.37 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Swing length +2.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 533 PA | 0.37 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Swing length +2.6zGround-ball rate -1.6zBat speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Arraez, Luis SF · L · 662 PA | 0.37 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Ground-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 611 PA | 0.37 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateIsolated power | Chase rate -2.2zWalk rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 405 PA | 0.32 | Hard-hit rateBat speedOppo rate | Chase rate -2.0zSprint speed +1.8zStrikeout rate +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 638 PA | 0.32 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Swing length +3.5zGround-ball rate -1.8zBat speed +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.