Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 188 lb |
| Debut | 2026-03-26 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Justin Crawford
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 188 lb · Age 22
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 465 | 48 | 112 | 3 | 17 | .264 | .309 | .353 | .662 |
| 1 Seasons | 465 | 48 | 112 | 3 | 17 | .264 | .309 | .353 | .662 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.284 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.241
0.260
0.280
0.301
0.320
wOBA
0.294
0.306
0.321
0.335
0.348
ISO
0.074
0.087
0.102
0.116
0.129
K%
14.5%
16.7%
19.0%
21.4%
23.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.5%
7
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity85.4
23
Hard-hit%35.8%
39
xBA0.319
52
xSLG0.408
15
xwOBA0.284
29
-19 vs proj
BB%5.8%
21
-17 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
16
K%18.0%
78
+41 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
62
Arm Strength86.1 · CF
4
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
13
Range Runs-2.0 · CF
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · CF
67
Bolts76.0 · CF
97
SB Success Rate75.0% · CF
35
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.4% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
265 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Crawford’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.284 — a gap of 0.037, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 482 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mangum, Jake PIT · L | 0.68 | Sprint speedSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Gonzales, Nick PIT · R | 0.61 | Isolated powerMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Lukes, Nathan TOR · L | 0.61 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.55 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 26 | 2026-09-26 | 8 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +3.360 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | HBP |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |