Mithrandir Metrics
Player Miami Marlins Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Miami Marlins

Javier Sanoja

3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 7", 150 lb · Age 24

Cards
33
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Miami Marlins Position 3B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024363800.229.250.286.536
2025342407666.243.287.396.683
2026490501361111.295.333.458.791
3 Seasons868932201717.272.312.426.738
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
24
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
32
Defense4 metrics
55
Speed4 metrics
57
Plate skills12 metrics
19
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.303
xwOBA current pace0.294
xwOBA rolling p500.297
Observed weight69%
xwOBA
0.273 0.284 0.297 0.309 0.320
wOBA
0.339 0.352 0.367 0.382 0.395
ISO
0.137 0.150 0.165 0.180 0.194
K%
8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.4%
17
Exit velocity86.1
30
Hard-hit%31.7%
22 -23 vs proj
xBA0.297
26
xSLG0.391
10
xwOBA0.294
39
BB%5.5%
17
Bat speed67.5
26
K%8.1%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
59
Arm Strength88.5 · 3B
61
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
19
Range Runs2.7 · 3B
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · 3B
37
Bolts25.0 · 3B
76
SB Success Rate75.0% · 3B
35
Sprint Speed28.6 · 3B
82
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.2% · rebadged research
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions61.2% · rebadged research
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
14
Fastball Stuff+65
0
Mithrandir Stuff+59
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.335 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299 · validated thin sample
15
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
9
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.398 · validated
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Sanoja, Javier · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.294 2026-09-13: 0.2922026-09-14: 0.2922026-09-18: 0.2922026-09-19: 0.2922026-09-20: 0.2922026-09-21: 0.2932026-09-22: 0.2932026-09-23: 0.2942026-09-24: 0.2942026-09-25: 0.2942026-09-26: 0.2932026-09-27: 0.294 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2025Season 99%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Sanoja, Javier · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 11%11%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 89%89%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sanoja, Javier · 2025 arsenal snapshot Other: 98.8%Slow Curve: 0.6%Eephus: 0.6% FA99% · 63 mphprimary pitch FA 99%CS 1%EP 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sanoja, Javier · 2025 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Other: 99% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 5″ drop, 62.6 mphFA63 mphSlow Curve: 1% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 7″ drop, 56.7 mphCS57 mphEephus: 1% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 10″ drop, 44.7 mphEP45 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 100.0% 51 65 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 7"
Weight150 lb
Debut2024-09-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.015
wOBA Δ+0.088

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.367
xwOBA (deserved)0.294

Sanoja’s wOBA sits at 0.367, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.073, -2.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 494 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-09-20Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding282026-09-263 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.571
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.279 xwOBA | 8 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB
2026-04-14 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | K, SB
2026-04-12 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3