The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pages, Andy in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats R · 597 PA

Ranked comps for Pages, Andy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA 0.73 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zPull rate +0.9z
02 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateChase rateBarrel rate Swing length -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate +1.0z
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 482 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateWalk rateBat speed Isolated power -1.3zPull rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z
04 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 446 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateWalk rate Sprint speed -2.0zMax exit velocity +1.1zChase rate -0.8z
05 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 587 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zPull rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z
06 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.65 Whiff rateChase rateMax exit velocity Swing length -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact -1.0z
07 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.64 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate Swing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -0.9z
08 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 438 PA 0.62 In-zone contactStrikeout rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z
09 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 627 PA 0.62 Sprint speedFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Oppo rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zSwing length -1.1z
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.61 Sprint speedBarrel rateIsolated power Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +0.9z
11 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.61 Whiff rateBarrel rateBat speed xwOBA on contact -1.3zOppo rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
12 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateBat speedWalk rate Swing length -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.3zOppo rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.