The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 686 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.81 In-zone contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.3zSwing length -1.0zWhiff rate +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 646 PA 0.75 Barrel rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 436 PA 0.70 Walk rateIsolated powerBat speed In-zone contact +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA 0.70 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA 0.69 Bat speedGround-ball ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.0zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.67 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Swing length -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.67 Barrel rateBat speedWalk rate Sprint speed +1.4zOppo rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 721 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Pull rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate In-zone contact -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityWhiff rateIsolated power Oppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.