The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jensen, Carter in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 622 PA

Ranked comps for Jensen, Carter

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA 0.71 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Strikeout rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactSprint speedOppo rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
03 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocitySprint speedWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z
04 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 579 PA 0.65 In-zone contactWhiff rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1z
05 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 657 PA 0.65 Chase rateWhiff rateSprint speed Oppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z
06 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.63 In-zone contactWhiff rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zxwOBA on contact +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z
07 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 489 PA 0.63 Ground-ball rateChase rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.0zBarrel rate -1.0z
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.62 Isolated powerStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Swing length +1.9zOppo rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z
09 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.61 In-zone contactBat speedChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.0z
10 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocitySwing length Chase rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.5zWhiff rate +1.1z
11 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityBat speedSprint speed Strikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2z
12 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 641 PA 0.59 Whiff rateWalk rateOppo rate In-zone contact -1.4zSprint speed -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.