The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 597 PA
Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.73 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Isolated power -1.1zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 652 PA | 0.66 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Walk rate -1.6zSwing length -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 630 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 701 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateSprint speed | Chase rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Wood, James WSH · L · 650 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power | xwOBA on contact +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 659 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Walk rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zPull rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.