The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 467 PA

Ranked comps for Carter, Evan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.61 Sprint speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 530 PA 0.60 Bat speedWalk rateOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 532 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate In-zone contact +1.7zWhiff rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 355 PA 0.58 Sprint speedIsolated powerSwing length Sweet-spot rate +2.4zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Walls, Taylor TB · L · 440 PA 0.57 Walk ratePull rateFly-ball rate Hard-hit rate -1.6zBat speed -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 395 PA 0.55 Whiff rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 523 PA 0.54 Barrel rateBat speedOppo rate Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA 0.53 Ground-ball rateBat speedSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA 0.51 Strikeout rateChase rateSwing length Avg exit velocity +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.6zBat speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 445 PA 0.50 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity In-zone contact +2.0zFly-ball rate -1.5zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 372 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactOppo rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 518 PA 0.48 Swing lengthSprint speedHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +2.4zBarrel rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.