The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lopez, Otto in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats R · 703 PA

Ranked comps for Lopez, Otto

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.68 Chase rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 354 PA 0.67 Pull rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.4zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 653 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerOppo rate Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.64 Barrel rateChase ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA 0.61 Oppo rateChase ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.60 Bat speedFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Strikeout rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Young, Cole SEA · L · 663 PA 0.59 Whiff rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.58 Whiff rateBat speedStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 627 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocitySprint speed Oppo rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA 0.56 Whiff rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA 0.56 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.