The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cruz, Oneil in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 438 PA
Ranked comps for Cruz, Oneil
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 655 PA | 0.64 | Walk rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 627 PA | 0.54 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Jordan STL · R · 678 PA | 0.50 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Swing length +2.1zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 558 PA | 0.50 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.8zChase rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Mitchell, Garrett MIL · L · 551 PA | 0.47 | Whiff rateBat speedWalk rate | Fly-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA | 0.43 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.42 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Walk rate +2.3zOppo rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Wood, James WSH · L · 646 PA | 0.41 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +2.4zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA | 0.40 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Sprint speed -2.3zMax exit velocity -1.9zAvg exit velocity -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.39 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -2.5zFly-ball rate +2.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 477 PA | 0.36 | Sprint speedIsolated powerBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -2.4zStrikeout rate -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA | 0.36 | Swing lengthPull rateWhiff rate | xwOBA on contact -2.0zMax exit velocity -2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.