The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats L · 492 PA

Ranked comps for Soto, Juan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.54 Oppo ratePull rateChase rate Barrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
02 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 579 PA 0.51 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3z
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.50 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zSwing length +1.5z
04 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.49 Isolated powerMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4z
05 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.49 Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z
06 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 726 PA 0.48 Chase ratePull rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.6zSwing length +1.6z
07 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.47 Bat speedGround-ball rateSwing length Avg exit velocity -1.6zWalk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z
08 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.47 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +2.3zBarrel rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1z
09 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.44 Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length Strikeout rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z
10 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA 0.43 Walk rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Strikeout rate +2.2zOppo rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z
11 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.43 In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed Strikeout rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.8zOppo rate +1.4z
12 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 717 PA 0.41 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate Walk rate -2.5zStrikeout rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.5z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.