The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.
NYM · bats L · 492 PA
Ranked comps for Soto, Juan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.54 | Oppo ratePull rateChase rate | Barrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 579 PA | 0.51 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Strikeout rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.50 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zSwing length +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA | 0.49 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 726 PA | 0.48 | Chase ratePull rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.6zSwing length +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.47 | Bat speedGround-ball rateSwing length | Avg exit velocity -1.6zWalk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.47 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +2.3zBarrel rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.44 | Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Strikeout rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 597 PA | 0.43 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Strikeout rate +2.2zOppo rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.43 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed | Strikeout rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.8zOppo rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 717 PA | 0.41 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Walk rate -2.5zStrikeout rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.