The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 713 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 494 PA 0.75 Whiff rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Chase rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.73 Pull rateIn-zone contactSwing length xwOBA on contact +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 646 PA 0.71 Avg exit velocityChase rateMax exit velocity Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 559 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate Isolated power -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.67 Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed Max exit velocity +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 425 PA 0.64 Swing lengthWhiff rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zPull rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 419 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot ratePull rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 549 PA 0.63 Swing lengthMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zPull rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 655 PA 0.62 Bat speedIn-zone contactSwing length Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.7zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.61 Barrel rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Max exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.