The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 636 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.4zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.71 | Walk rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.3zBat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.69 | Bat speedOppo rateWalk rate | Isolated power -1.0zHard-hit rate -1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 446 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Barrel rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 455 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateChase rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateStrikeout rateBat speed | In-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 586 PA | 0.65 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.65 | Swing lengthSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | France, Ty SD · R · 523 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateFly-ball rateChase rate | xwOBA on contact -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 687 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Bat speed -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 688 PA | 0.63 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate +2.4zOppo rate -1.3zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 688 PA | 0.63 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.