The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raleigh, Cal in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 547 PA

Ranked comps for Raleigh, Cal

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 662 PA 0.61 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Fly-ball rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.55 Whiff rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.46 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zChase rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.45 Barrel rateOppo ratePull rate Swing length -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.44 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.7zBat speed -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.44 Swing lengthSprint speedWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.7zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.41 Isolated powerSprint speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -3.0zGround-ball rate +2.0zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.41 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.0zSwing length -1.8zOppo rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.40 Barrel rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.39 Bat speedSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.8zWalk rate -2.1zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 721 PA 0.39 Strikeout rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA 0.38 Strikeout rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.