The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.
TB · bats L · 409 PA
Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 588 PA | 0.70 | Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zPull rate +0.9zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 611 PA | 0.69 | Bat speedFly-ball rateIsolated power | Avg exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 606 PA | 0.69 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactChase rate | Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateChase rate | Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityBat speedFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 470 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWalk rate | Fly-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateIsolated power | Pull rate -1.4zChase rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 489 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerSwing lengthSprint speed | Chase rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +0.9zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 667 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthChase rateIsolated power | Walk rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA | 0.62 | Walk rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 410 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.