Mithrandir Metrics
STL National League Central Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals

70.2-91.8 with P10-P90 wins 61-80. 81.6 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
70.2-91.8
Live pace
77.5
Delta
+7.3
Record 77-84 Run diff -27 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason70.0
Current pace77.5
Rolling p5075.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
66.8 70.9 75.4 80.0 84.1
MOVE +5.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.46
October path

Projection odds

Division1.2%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.252
Rotation FIP4.60
Bullpen FIP4.46
Run diff-100.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPagés, Pedro----
1BBernal, Leo---0.24
2BPrieto, César----
SSSaggese, Thomas---0.61
3BGorman, Nolan--0.88
LFFermín, José---0.09
CFChurch, Nathan---0.91
RFWalker, Jordan---0.85
DHHerrera, Iván--4.88
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Pereira, EversonHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Player 695491HitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Fernandez, RyanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Svanson, MattPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors